'A precursory judgement and punishment': the Aberdeen Doctors, the death of Bishop Forbes, and troubled times
Scrogie opened his sermon with a prophetic declaration, that Forbes' death had fatally weakened the Church and State of Scotland:
This is a praecursorie judgement and punishment. So God maketh a way for his judgementes to come vpon a Church, or kingdome, when insensiblie and graduallie hee eateth out the heart and strength of a State; and so, by degrees, weakeneth, and praepareth it for a fatall blow; that so, without resistance, hee may ruine it; as pyking out, and taking away, nowe a prudent and experienced Counsellour, and then another out of the way: and those that pray for the welfare of the Nation, and wrastle mightilie with God, for the peace of it: the Charets, and Horse-men of the land; the staffe, and the stay, and pillars of the house: and so, (by degrees departing himselfe) a new judgement in his anger entereth in rowme thereof.
Mindful of what would occur in the Kingdom and Church of Scotland over the subsequent few years - the imposition of the 1637 Prayer Book, the populist riots against the Prayer Book, the signing of the rebellious National Covenant in 1638 (bravely rejected by the Aberdeen Doctors), the General Assembly then abolishing the episcopal office, excommunicating the Scottish bishops, rejecting the 1618 Articles of Perth, and asserting the Assembly's right to convene without the Crown's consent - Scrogie was indeed prophetic. The absence of Forbes' prudence, caution, and eirenicism severely weakened the alternative to both the ineptitude of King Charles I and the extremism of the Covenanters. The result was the First Bishops' War erupting in 1639, with the carefully constructed moderation of the Jacobean Church of Scotland - an episcopally-ordered Reformed national church under the Crown, sharing some of the ceremonies and order of the English and Irish national churches, while yet retaining its own distinctive patterns - swept aside by the ideological certainties of both the Covenanters and the advocates of the Personal Rule.
Scrogie discerned how the death of Forbes removed from the Church and Kingdom of Scotland a prudent counsellor, with "the good and old way" - the settled order of the Jacobean Church of Scotland - now threatened by competing forces:
Then Trueth and Holinesse commonlie depart, and Ministers begin to bee corrupt: the Prophet is a foole, and the spirituall man is mad: the power and puritie of the trueth, and the good and olde way departeth: and so idolatrie groweth, and Sects encrease, and a perilous desolation, and change of all things, enseweth. What mischiefe followed the death of Samuel, David, Salomon, and Iosias? The Gothes, after the death of Ambrose, made in that same place irruption, and setled the seat of their kingdome. When Augustine ended his dayes in defence of the grace of GOD, the Vandales crueltie and errours succeeded. And after the death of blessed Martin Luther, the bloodie Spaniards invaded Germanie, and tooke Wittenberg.
'Change of all things ensueth'. It was a Hookerian warning that a decent order was under threat. Indeed, we might detect in Scrogie an echo of Hooker's famous words:
that posteritie may know we have not loosely through silence permitted things to passe away as in a dreame ... (LEP Preface I.1).
Scrogie then adds foreboding words:
And shall wee not wit, when GOD departeth, but bee as Sampson?
A footnote references Judges 16.20:
And she said, The Philistines be upon thee, Samson. And he awoke out of his sleep, and said, I will go out as at other times before, and shake myself. And he wist not that the LORD was departed from him.
Philistines were indeed gathering around the Jacobean Church of Scotland, its goodly and wise order exemplified by Forbes and the Aberdeen Doctors. The death of Forbes, as Scrogie declared, removed from Church and Kingdom the chief representative of prudence and peaceableness against the Philistines, Covenanters and Carolines alike.
(The picture is a 17th century depiction of Aberdeen, Forbes' episcopal see and home of the two universities, Marischal College and King's College, in which the Aberdeen Doctors taught.)

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